Business Wire

Barclays Research takes stock of the effects of Russia’s war with Ukraine in the 2022 Equity Gilt Study

Share

Barclays Research today released the 67th edition of the Equity Gilt Study (EGS), a flagship annual publication. Combining market-leading macro analysis with a unique multi-asset dataset spanning over 100 years, this year’s report takes stock of the effects of Russia’s war with Ukraine.

Barclays’ Research analysts survey the future of the European monetary union, arguing that Europe has often moved towards further integration during crises, and the recent past is no exception. The pandemic and the war in Ukraine have forced member states toward more fiscal and political co-operation. This includes a common diplomacy and defense policy, as well as a common energy policy.

Barclays Research argues that fears about the US dollar losing reserve currency status are greatly overstated. With the EMU still not fully integrated fiscally and politically and with the Chinese RMB only partially convertible, there are no good substitutes for the US dollar. Instead, large exporters might try to reduce their US current account surpluses by focusing more on regional trading blocs, in an attempt to diversify their foreign reserves.

In parallel, Barclays’ analysts note that the war is leading governments and corporations to re-examine the resilience of their supply chains and other economic linkages. That could lead to at least a partial reversal of the multi-decade trend of globalization. Already, our analysts see evidence of a “reshoring” of critical processes and infrastructure, and of multinational companies hiring closer to home.

Finally, Barclays’ analysts consider the implications for the macroeconomic environment, which, over the past three decades, has benefited from a period of “Great Moderation”, characterized by a relatively stable backdrop of growth, inflation, and monetary policy. We think this may be changing, with significant implications for macroeconomic stability.

“In this year’s Equity Gilt Study, Barclays’ analysts explore how the war in Ukraine, coming on the heels of the pandemic, will likely permanently re-shape the macro landscape,” says Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Global Chairman of Research at Barclays. “The Equity Gilt Study provides an indispensable tool to understand the themes and trends affecting global economies and markets for years to come.”

>>> Clients can gain access to the full EGS at Barclays Live
>>> To learn more about our Research offering and view recent insights, click here

Notes for Editors

Since 1956 Barclays’ Equity Gilt Study has provided uniquely rich data, analysis and commentary on long-term asset returns in the UK and US. Data for the UK goes back to 1899, while the US data, provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices at the University of Chicago, runs from 1925.

About Barclays

Barclays is a British universal bank. We are diversified by business, by different types of customer and client, and geography. Our businesses include consumer banking and payments operations around the world, as well as a top-tier, full service, global corporate and investment bank, all of which are supported by our service company which provides technology, operations and functional services across the Barclays Group. For further information about Barclays, please visit our website home.barclays.

About Barclays Corporate and Investment Bank

Barclays is a consumer and wholesale bank, supporting individuals and small businesses through our consumer banking services, and larger businesses and institutions through our corporate and investment banking services. Our Corporate and Investment Bank is comprised of the Investment Banking, International Corporate Banking, Global Markets and Research businesses; it provides money managers, financial institutions, governments, supranational organisations and corporate clients with services and advice for their funding, financing, strategic and risk management needs. For further information about Barclays Corporate and Investment Bank, please visit our website www.cib.barclays.

To view this piece of content from cts.businesswire.com, please give your consent at the top of this page.

Contact information

Ann Thielke
212-526-1472 (US)
ann.thielke@barclays.com

About Business Wire

Business Wire
Business Wire
24 Martin Lane
EC4R 0DR London

+44 20 7626 1982http://www.businesswire.co.uk

(c) 2018 Business Wire, Inc., All rights reserved.

Business Wire, a Berkshire Hathaway company, is the global leader in multiplatform press release distribution.

Subscribe to releases from Business Wire

Subscribe to all the latest releases from Business Wire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.

Latest releases from Business Wire

Nordson EFD Releases New 3-Axis Automated Fluid Dispensing Systems28.3.2024 15:00:00 CET | Press release

Nordson EFD, a Nordson company (NASDAQ: NDSN) and leading precision fluid dispensing systems manufacturer is proud to announce the new GVPlus and PROX families of automated fluid dispensing products. Both robotic solutions share a focus on motion, workspace, repeatability, payload, setup, and vision technology enhancements. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240305726899/en/ The GV Series offers market-leading dimensional positional accuracy and deposit placement repeatability. (Photo: Business Wire) The new GVPlus automated fluid dispensing solution offers improved repeatability, bigger payloads with simplified setup requirements, and superior vision capabilities. Repeatability is now best-in-class at 8 μm, improving repeatability to ±0.008 mm. Setting up the robot is easier due to a new dual mounting flange that enables a tool payload of up to 4.5 kg (10 lbs). When paired with the working area of 400 mm x 400 m

Kolmar Korea Wins Case Against Italian Cosmetics Maker Intercos for Suncare Technology Theft28.3.2024 14:00:00 CET | Press release

Kolmar Korea (KRX:161890), a Korean cosmetics ODM (Original Development Manufacturing) company, has announced its victory in a lawsuit against Intercos Korea, the Korean subsidiary of the Italian cosmetics maker, Intercos. Intercos was revealed to have misappropriated and profited from the key technology for suncare (sunscreen) products, originally developed by Kolmar Korea. Kolmar Korea had invested hundreds of billions of KRW in this technology. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240328015022/en/ Kolmar Korea wins the case against Italian cosmetics maker Intercos for stealing suncare technology (Kolmar Korea R&D Complex) (Photo: Kolmar Korea Holdings) Kolmar Korea took legal action for 'trade secret infringement' against its former employees who have leaked the technology and Intercos Korea, resulting in favorable rulings in both civil and criminal cases. The Korean courts ordered Intercos Korea to pay KRW 200

Tigo Energy Headquarters Receives 90kW of Optimized Solar from Long-Time Installer Partner28.3.2024 14:00:00 CET | Press release

Tigo Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: TYGO), a leading provider of intelligent solar and energy software solutions, today announced the installation and commissioning of a rooftop solar system at its headquarters in California. The system was designed and deployed by Tigo installer partner, Laibach Solar, and has averaged 5% Reclaimed Energy since it was commissioned. Laibach Solar is an employee-owned solar installer in Northern California dedicated to combining high-quality components with unbeatable pricing. It has been a valued installation partner for Tigo since 2018. The installation now contributes to the growth of U.S. corporate solar adoption, which was 14% of the U.S. Solar Market as of 2022, according to the Solar Energy Industries Association. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240328503393/en/ The system was designed and deployed by Tigo installer partner Laibach Solar and has averaged 5% Reclaimed Energy since

Seoul Semiconductor Supplies WICOP to Front Headlamps of 2024 Genesis GV80, Leading Trend of Headlamps28.3.2024 14:00:00 CET | Press release

Seoul Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:046890), the world best-in-class technology in opto-semiconductors, is supplying and mass-producing “WICOP,” the world’s first high-power LEDs without wire, for the headlamps of Genesis GV80, a luxury SUV model by Hyundai Motor Group, which is one of the world’s top three automobile companies. The technology applies to all functions of the high-light, sophisticated headlamps introduced by GV80. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240328561793/en/ Headlamps of GV80, a luxury SUV of Genesis, with Seoul Semiconductor’s WICOP technology applied (Photo: Seoul Semiconductor Co., Ltd.) Seoul Semiconductor applied its new technology of Ultra-High Luminance “WICOP UHL” to the high and low beams of GV80, the two lines that symbolize Genesis vehicles. With its improved luminance by 200% compared to existing mass-produced WICOP products, WICOP UHL is attracting the attention of the automo

Crown Bioscience Announces New Preclinical and Translational Oncology Data Across Ten Poster Presentations at AACR 202428.3.2024 13:30:00 CET | Press release

Crown Bioscience, a global contract research organization (CRO) and a JSR Life Sciences company, will showcase significant contributions in preclinical and translational oncology research at the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) 2024 meeting. Highlighting its latest research, the company will present ten posters covering a broad spectrum of data from the company's R&D program. The data presented will cover a range of innovative techniques in oncology and immuno-oncology drug discovery and development. Posters featured at AACR include: The in-depth Characterization of Acute Myeloid Leukemia Patient-Derived Xenograft (PDX) Models with Hotspot Gene Mutations for Therapeutic Evaluation. The development of an Integrated Pipeline for Immuno-Oncology Drug Testing, using patient-derived tumor organoids with a reconstituted tumor microenvironment and fresh ex vivo patient tissue cultures, aiming to enhance therapeutic evaluation and drug development efficiency with translational p

HiddenA line styled icon from Orion Icon Library.Eye