GlobeNewswire

AER Issues Winter Weather Outlook

Share

Arctic predictors may impact polar vortex, leading to dramatic swings in weather for upcoming winter

FALMOUTH, MA, Dec. 09, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- There’s increased possibility of severe winter weather in the second half of winter, with warming temperatures brought on by climate change potentially disrupting the polar vortex leading to dramatic swings in weather this winter season. These were some of the findings explained by Dr. Judah Cohen, Director of Seasonal Forecasting at Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER), a Verisk™ business, for the upcoming winter.  

Each year, AER provides a winter weather outlook, and this year’s outlook predicts cold temperatures, and variable weather conditions for North America. Regionally, the U.S. can expect relatively cold temperatures in the Pacific Northwest, Upper Midwest and the Great Lakes with relatively mild temperatures in the Southern US and up the Eastern Seaboard.

AER’s outlook is based in large part on research advanced in collaboration with Woodwell Climate Research Center’s Senior Scientist Dr. Jennifer Francis. Dr. Francis is an expert on the link between Arctic warming and weather patterns around the northern hemisphere, and together she and Dr. Cohen have been working to unravel the significant role that rapid Arctic warming is having on the jetstream and shifting mid-latitude weather patterns. 

According to Dr. Cohen, while mainstream seasonal outlooks typically rely heavily on tropical predictors such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation index -- ENSO, AER’s winter weather outlook also factors in key Arctic indicators - such as sea ice variability, atmospheric blocking at high latitudes, and snow cover in Siberia - that have the potential to disrupt the polar vortex and impact temperatures and weather patterns throughout the winter months. 

Factoring in this season’s warm Arctic temperatures and record low sea ice, Dr. Cohen highlights in the 2020-2021 winter weather outlook:

  • a moderate La Niña is expected this winter, which will significantly impact winter weather. It’s important to note that  the polar vortex can have just as large an impact, yet it is not considered by most long-range forecasters; a weaker vortex increases the risk of colder weather
  • therefore, greater cold risk than currently expected, and that the cold weather could reach farther east than predicted by NOAA and other seasonal forecasts; 
  • increased possibility of severe winter weather in the second half of the winter; and
  • potential for disruption to the polar vortex, which increases the risk of more severe weather, leading to greater variability and swings in weather as the warming temperatures brought by climate change compete and clash with the cold temperatures brought by disruptions to the polar vortex.

“As the planet warms, I believe it is increasingly difficult to have sustained cold weather without a polar vortex disruption,” said Dr. Cohen. “However, changing Arctic conditions are making such disruptions more common. This year, a significant polar vortex disruption is looking increasingly likely, which could mean a colder than normal winter in parts of the Northern US.”

“Judah’s seasonal predictions incorporate cutting-edge research related to the impact of climate change that can prove beneficial on a number of fronts -- everything from how much road salt a director of transportation needs to buy, to how much snow-making equipment might be needed to support a ski operation, to how much freshwater will be stored in a snowpack for the dry summer to follow,” said Dr. Francis. “Seasonal weather forecasting is a complex and fast-moving area of meteorology. We’re proud to collaborate with Judah and AER to share unique insights about the impact of climate change to help people better plan and prepare for the winter months ahead.”

Dr. Cohen’s Winter Weather Outlook, offering a static prediction for this winter’s weather, can be found here. His blog, a more dynamic source continuously updated with key meteorological information on temperature and weather patterns throughout the winter as weather events occur, can be found here

About Woodwell Climate Research Center: 

Originally founded as Woods Hole Research Center (WHRC) by the renowned ecologist Dr. George Woodwell in 1985, Woodwell Climate Research Center is an organization of highly respected researchers who work with a worldwide network of partners to understand and combat climate change. Our experts have vast experience in the field, collecting data firsthand and generating knowledge about Earth’s most consequential ecosystems. We bring together hands-on experience and 35 years of policy impact to find societal-scale solutions that can be put into immediate action.

About Verisk 

Verisk (Nasdaq:VRSK) is a leading data analytics provider serving customers in insurance, energy and specialized markets, and financial services. Verisk offers predictive analytics and decision support solutions to customers in rating, underwriting, claims, catastrophe and weather risk, global risk analytics, natural resources intelligence, economic forecasting, and many other fields. Around the world, Verisk helps customers protect people, property, and financial assets.

Headquartered in Jersey City, N.J., Verisk operates in 30 countries and is a member of Standard & Poor's S&P 500® Index and part of the Nasdaq 100 Index. For more information, please visit www.verisk.com.

###

AER/Verisk Media Contact: 

Joseph Madden, joseph.madden@verisk.com

Brett Garrison, Edelman (for Verisk), Brett.Garrison@edelman.com

Woodwell Climate Media contact: 
Maddie Rocklin-Waltch, maddie@ninetywest.com


About GlobeNewswire

GlobeNewswire
GlobeNewswire
One Liberty Plaza - 165 Broadway
NY 10006 New York

https://globenewswire.com

GlobeNewswire is one of the world's largest newswire distribution networks, specializing in the delivery of corporate press releases financial disclosures and multimedia content to the media, investment community, individual investors and the general public.

Subscribe to releases from GlobeNewswire

Subscribe to all the latest releases from GlobeNewswire by registering your e-mail address below. You can unsubscribe at any time.

Latest releases from GlobeNewswire

PRESS RELEASE: NACON AND CREĀ -TURE STUDIOS TEAM UP FOR THE PUBLISHING AND DISTRIBUTION OF SESSION.18.1.2021 17:45:00 CETPress release

NACON AND CREĀ -TURE STUDIOS TEAM UP FOR THE PUBLISHING AND DISTRIBUTION OF SESSION. Lesquin, 18 January 2021 – NACON and creā-ture Studios are pleased to announce that they are joining forces for the publishing and distribution of the game Session:Skateboarding Sim Game, a new skateboarding simulation, currently available in early access. With more than 85% of positive reviews on Steam, the game is eagerly awaited due to its immersive experience and innovative gameplay. Session. is an authentic and realistic simulation for skateboarding fans. It is currently being developed by the Montreal studio creā-ture, founded by Marc-André Houde and Vincent Da Silva, two video-game veterans and experienced skateboarders. The game is available in early access on Steam (PC) and on Xbox One / Xbox Series X|S consoles in Game Preview version. It is already being widely hailed by players for its quality and realism, and looks set to become the new reference for the genre. The world of Session. celebr

CONDITIONS FOR THE RIKSBANK´S PURCHASES OF COMMERCIAL PAPER18.1.2021 16:20:00 CETPress release

* Bid procedure, 2021-01-20CertificateCommercial paper issued in SEK by non-financial companies with their registered office in Sweden and with a remaining maturity of up to six months on the Bid date. i.e. with the latest maturity date as of 2021-07-20 Delivery may not be made in commercial paper purchased by the Counterparty from the issuer less than one week prior to the date for announcing the Special terms, i.e. the purchase may not have been made after 2021-01-11 BidsCounterparties may make one bid per Credit rating class and maturity class. Bids are made to tel 08-696 69 70 and confirmed by e-mail to EOL@riksbank.se.Bid date2021-01-20Bid times09.00-09.30 (CET/CEST) on the Bid dateRequested volume (corresponding nominal amount)SEK 4 billionHighest permitted bid volume (corresponding nominal amount)The total bid volume from one Counterparty for the two Credit rating classes may not exceed SEK 4 billion. No bid may contain Commercial paper in excess of SEK 250 million issued by the

Disclosure Under Chapter 9 Section 5 of the Securities Market Act (BlackRock, Inc.)18.1.2021 15:20:00 CETPress release

SAMPO PLC STOCK EXCHANGE RELEASE 18 January 2021 at 4:20 pm Disclosure Under Chapter 9 Section 5 of the Securities Market Act (BlackRock, Inc.) Sampo plc (business code 0142213-3) has received a disclosure under Chapter 9, Section 5 of the Securities Markets Act, according to which the total number of Sampo A shares (ISIN: FI009003305) owned directly, indirectly or through financial instruments by BlackRock, Inc. (USA tax ID 32-0174421) and its funds increased on 15 January 2021 above five (5) per cent of Sampo plc's total stock. Sampo's share capital comprises 555,351,850 shares, of which 554,151,850 are A shares and 1,200,000 are B shares. Each A share entitles its holder to one (1) vote and each B share to five (5) votes. Thus, the total number of votes is 560,151,850. Total positions of BlackRock, Inc and its funds subject to the notification: % of shares and voting rights (total of A)% of shares and voting rights through financial instruments (total of B)Total of both in % (A+B)Re

Suominen Corporation: Notification of change in holdings according to chapter 9, section 10 of the Securities Market Act18.1.2021 15:00:00 CETPress release

Suominen Corporation, stock exchange release on January 18, 2021 at 4 p.m. (EET). Suominen Corporation has received a notification on January 18, 2021 referred to Chapter 9, Section 5 and 6 of the Securities Market Act. According to the notification, the shareholding of Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company in Suominen Corporation has fallen under the 5% flagging threshold. Total positions of person subject to the notification obligation: % of shares and voting rights (total of 7.A)% of shares and voting rights through financial instruments (total of 7.B)Total of both in % (7.A + 7.B)Total number of shares and voting rights of the issuerResulting situation on the date on which threshold was crossed or reached4.33%4.33%58,259,219Position of previous notification (if applicable)5.19%5.19% Notified details of the resulting situation on the date on which the threshold was crossed or reached: A: Shares and voting rightsClass/type of sharesNumber of shares and voting rights% of shares and vot

Taaleri SolarWind II fund invests in two ready-to-build wind farms in Poland with a combined capacity of 51.4 MW18.1.2021 14:30:00 CETPress release

TAALERI PLC PRESS RELEASE 18 JANUARY 2021 AT 15.30 (EET) Taaleri SolarWind II fund invests in two ready-to-build wind farms in Poland with a combined capacity of 51.4 MW The Taaleri SolarWind II fund has, together with Masdar, one of the world’s leading renewable energy companies, acquired 100% ownership of the Mlawa and Grajewo wind farms. The wind farms are located in Northern Poland in the counties of Mazowieckie and Podlaskie. Masdar is Taaleri Energia’s joint venture partner in the CEE region. Construction works on both wind farms started in June 2020. With 24 Vestas V110 turbines, the wind farms will have a combined installed capacity of 51.4 MW and the combined annual production of electricity will be approximately 192 GWh. The wind farms will produce enough electricity to supply around 90000 households and will offset the equivalent of 146,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide during each year of operation. The projects were developed by Vestas together with V-Ridium Power Services. V-R

Elon och Elon Ljud & Bild bäst i branschen på medkänsla18.1.2021 13:00:00 CETPressemelding

Elon och Elon Ljud & Bild bäst i branschen på medkänsla Elon får högsta resultat i kategorin hemelektronik i Empati Grand Prix 2021. På den digitala galan presenterades resultatet där över 3000 svenskar varit med och röstat fram handelns mest empatiska företag. 2019 inledde vitvarukedjan Elon och hemelektronikkedjan Elon Ljud & Bild ett samarbete för att tillsammans bli den ledande fackhandelskedjan inom både hemelektronik och vitvaror på marknaden. Nu visar årets undersökning att de båda kedjorna gemensamt har ett starkt varumärke och är bäst i klassen på att förstå och känna empati. - Det är oerhört glädjande att se resultaten i undersökningen. Våra handlare runt om i landet gör ett fantastiskt arbete där service prioriteras och kunden alltid står i centrum. Det är såklart med stolthet som man tar del av resultaten i Empati Grand Prix, säger Martin Torstensson, kedjechef för Elon Ljud & Bild. Priset Empati Grand Prix arrangeras av Index House tillsammans med kommunikationsbyrån Pool.

Avance Gas enter into contracts for two dual fuel VLGC newbuildings with DSME18.1.2021 11:05:00 CETPress release

Avance Gas Holding Ltd (OSE: "AGAS", or the "Company") today announces that it has entered into shipbuilding contracts for two 91,000 CBM, LPG Dual-Fuel VLGCs with Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering (DSME) in South Korea, for delivery Q4 2022 and Q1 2023. The investment enhances the green profile of the Avance Gas fleet, allowing the company to take another important step towards de-carbonisation while contributing to a greener shipping industry and achieving the targeted 40% reduction in emissions by 2030. The new vessels are capable of burning LPG, have larger intake and lower daily consumption. They will also be fitted with shaft generator further enhancing emissions reduction for an even greater greener profile. The outlook for the freight market remains healthy, supported by continued strong US LPG exports and growing Asian demand. The price and terms are attractive and we expect that the vessels will also secure attractive financing in line with their environmentally frie